Can Trump Win Without Key Battleground States?

The 2020 United States presidential election is rapidly approaching, and with key battleground states either in negative territory ("negative net approval") or leaning Democratic, the question of whether President Trump can secure re-election without these critical states remains a focal point of debate.

States such as Wisconsin (-13), Michigan (-10), and Pennsylvania (-7) had negative net approval ratings as of May 2019. These states are traditionally considered part of the Republican electoral college base. However, the political landscape can shift significantly in the 15 months leading up to the November elections, making the outcome of the race highly unpredictable. Far too many variables can change the odds dramatically, as history has shown.

The Democratic Strategy

With President Trump facing a crowded Democratic primary field, the Democratic Party is keen on regaining the White House. No means or methods will be spared in this pursuit. The party has a deeply entrenched network of operatives, and even tactics like write-in campaigns are being openly considered as ways to strategically influence the results.

The media and the so-called fact-checkers are seen as potential allies in this effort. Their narratives and endorsetions can tip the balance, much like during the 2016 election. However, history teaches us that those who do not learn the lessons of the past are doomed to repeat them. The fear is that America has allowed itself to be bullied and manipulated by corrupt elements within the Democratic Party.

Typical Democratic Candidates

Take, for example, former Vice President Joe Biden. To many, Biden represents status quo solutions and a lack of genuine change. He has spent decades in Washington with no significant groundbreaking achievements. The question arises—why should voters choose him as a candidate? Joe Biden, a cretin in the eyes of many, has failed to prove himself in the realm of governance and has shown a troubling fondness for underaged girls and groping women. His support base is often seen as a product of media influence rather than genuine merit.

Current Polling and Electoral Map Analysis

Recent polls and electoral maps indicate a more favorable scenario for President Trump. Current battleground state polls show President Trump leading Joe Biden by 7 points in 15 key states. These polls suggest that Trump could secure a landslide victory, given his current standing.

Electoral maps predict that Trump would win 37 states. The only state outside the Northeast and the Pacific Coast that Biden is projected to win is Illinois. This would suggest a significant Republican stronghold that President Trump could easily secure in November.

Final Thoughts and Future Observations

Recent polling data from 2019 is now outdated. The situation will continue to evolve as we approach the election. The 2016 election demonstrated that polls are not always accurate, and we may gain a clearer picture of the likely outcome as we get closer to the voting day. However, based on current trends and available data, it appears that President Trump has a strong chance of securing re-election.

While Trump has a plethora of strategies at his disposal, including the use of Russian influence, smear campaigns, and leveraging the Department of Justice, these tactics alone may not be enough to secure a win. His ratings and overall approval may shift depending on a myriad of factors, but he is expected to employ every means necessary to win the election.

The upcoming months will undoubtedly be critical for both candidates. The political climate, economic conditions, and public sentiment will all play a crucial role in shaping the final outcome. As of now, the data suggests that President Trump has a favorable position to secure re-election, despite the uncertainties and risks that lie ahead.