Why North Indians Migrate to Southern States Despite Development Under BJP Governments

The recent assertion that 20 crore North Indians have migrated to southern states like Andhra, Telangana, Tamil Nadu, Karnataka, and Kerala is nothing but a myth. In reality, this figure is based on wild imagination and lacks any substantial data. The actual population of these southern states, including one union territory, is approximately 25.33 crore, with no plausible way for 20 crore North Indians to be integrated within this number. This article aims to provide a detailed analysis of the true reasons behind the migration patterns, dispel common misconceptions, and examine the broader economic context.

Disproving the 20 Crore Myth

The claim of 20 crore North Indians migrating to the southern states is based on a fallacy. This figure is completely unfounded and lacks any empirical evidence. The current projected total population of the southern states along with one union territory is approximately 25.33 crore. Given the total projected Indian population is around 140 crore, the idea of 20 crore North Indians residing in the South is simply impossible. At most, it could be 5 to 10 crore, primarily concentrated in major cities with employment opportunities.

Migration Patterns and Economic Context

The term 'migration' itself is often misused in this context. Many people move within the country, primarily in search of better job prospects. Central government service transfers also occur nationally. Therefore, labeling this movement as 'migration' is misleading. Historically, in the 1970s and 1980s, many people moved from the southern states to places like Mumbai seeking employment. This trend reflects the continuous search for work and better opportunities.

With the current generation in the southern states having moved toward skilled jobs and fewer young people taking up low-skilled jobs, the need for young, active labor from other regions becomes apparent. The northeastern and north-eastern populations, which are generally younger, fill these gaps. For the next 10 to 20 years, the active workforce will primarily come from these regions. Once they reach an upward mobility phase, they too will shift towards skilled employment.

It is crucial to recognize that this situation is beneficial for both the southern and northern states. The varied age demographics and geography of the country allow us to sustain economic activity. Other countries face challenges due to demographic shifts, whereas India can continue to grow with this balance. From a macroeconomic perspective, this situation can be seen as a blessing.

Evaluating the Role of Political Leadership

The argument that North Indian states under BJP rule have undergone more development is valid. However, it is crucial to acknowledge the long-term rule of the Congress party in many of these states. For example, in Uttar Pradesh (UP), this is the first time BJP has achieved a majority, and it has continuously been improving in various aspects. In Bihar, where Congress had ruled for nearly 35 years, the party's decline can be attributed to poor governance.

It is unfair and unrealistic to blame BJP for the economic conditions in the states that have only recently been under its rule. Providing BJP with 15 to 20 more years of governance may yield positive results, as infrastructure growth under their rule has been phenomenal. This should be seen as a period for the party to prove its capabilities and merits for further governance.

Conclusion

The notion of a large-scale migration of North Indians to southern states is based on misconceptions and exaggerations. Instead, it reflects a natural movement of people in search of better opportunities. From an economic standpoint, the varied age demographics and regional distribution of labor contribute positively to the sustainability of the national economy. As we move forward, it is essential to focus on the quality of leadership and governance rather than making unfounded claims about large-scale migrations.